‹ All tip sheetsInjury update: Sun ~8:10 AM ETWk 7
Branduel · Duel32 · DraftKings NFL Classic · $50,000 cap

Week 7 Board: Thu–Mon Slate

Salaries pulled Oct 22, 11:52 PM ET from DK draft group 155197Updated Oct 23, 9:00 PM ET with Friday final injury reports (DAL and PHI report Saturday). Every source dated 2026.First lock: PIT@NO 9:30 AM ET Sun (Paris)

Lineup Locks 3 plays for every lineup

Lock
Christian McCaffreyRB · SF @ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM
$7,600
3x 22.8Avg 20.5vs 3x −2.3Wk6 $7,900 ▼$300Opp 21Imp 26.25
  • Usage: Highest projected Plus/Minus of any DraftKings RB this week (FantasyLabs). He drew a 36% target share last week (10 targets, 9 catches), double his 18% share from Weeks 1–5, and has 7 TDs in his last 5 games.
  • Role change: San Francisco's receiver room is gone: Mike Evans was ruled out Friday (Achilles tendinitis), Deebo Samuel is out (hamstring), Ricky Pearsall and De'Zhaun Stribling are sidelined, and Christian Kirk (calf) is Questionable for what would be his first game of the season. The proven targets left are McCaffrey and Kittle.
  • Price trend: His salary dropped $300 while his role grew. His season average (20.5) sits below 3x only because it includes the weeks before the receiver injuries; his last-week usage projects well above it.
  • Risk: Atlanta allows the 9th-lowest dropback success rate (43.5%), so SF may lean on short, safe throws. That still routes the ball through McCaffrey.
Defense: Atlanta ranks 28th in passing yards allowed (252 per game). ILB Divine Deablo (forearm) and nickel CB Billy Bowman (hamstring) are both Out. Outside corners A.J. Terrell and C.J. Henderson are Questionable (groin) but practiced fully Friday, so expect both to play. Losing the starting linebacker and the nickel corner thins out the short middle, where McCaffrey and Kittle get their targets.
Lock
Jordan LoveQB · GB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM
$6,000
3x 18.0Avg 20.7vs 3x +2.7Wk6 $5,500 ▲$500Opp 32Imp 25.25
  • Production: Detroit allows the most passing yards (321.4) and passing TDs (2.8) per game. Every QB to face them has scored 24+ DK points, and QBs have thrown 14 TDs against them in 5 games (Footballguys, FantasyLabs).
  • Usage: QB in 9 of 10 top DraftKings cash lineups in Footballguys' 10,000-game simulation, and top-two in projected Plus/Minus at the position (FantasyLabs).
  • Price trend: Up $500 from Week 6. Even at $6,000 his 20.7 average clears the 18.0 3x line, and the matchup projects above his average.
  • Risk: He was limited early in the week (back) but has no designation on Friday's final report. Detroit has the 4th-highest sack rate in the league.
Defense: S Kerby Joseph (knee) has been on PUP since camp, S Brian Branch is Questionable on Friday's final report as he returns from an Achilles tear, and LB Devin White is on IR. CB Rock Ya-Sin (hamstring) has no designation and will play. The Lions allow 194.8 receiving yards per game to WRs.
Lock
George KittleTE · SF @ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM
$5,700
3x 17.1Avg 15.0vs 3x −2.1Wk6 $5,200 ▲$500Opp 21Imp 26.25
  • Production: 5 TDs in 6 games, and 7 of San Francisco's 18 targets inside the 10-yard line have gone to him (Footballguys).
  • Role change: With Evans ruled out and Samuel, Pearsall and Stribling all sidelined, Kittle is the only healthy SF pass catcher with a multi-year track record. He is in the top cash lineup on both sites and has the highest projected Plus/Minus at TE (Footballguys, FantasyLabs).
  • Price trend: Up $500 from Week 6, and he is still $2,000 cheaper than Bowers.
  • Risk: His average (15.0) is below the 17.1 3x line. The bet is that the target concentration in this game pushes him above his season pace.
Defense: Opposing TEs average 6.3 catches and 56.2 yards per game against Atlanta (FantasyLabs). ILB Divine Deablo (forearm) and nickel CB Billy Bowman (hamstring) are ruled Out, so Kittle's middle-of-the-field matchups are backups.

Value Picks 6 plays under $5,500

Value Pick
1Germie BernardWR · PIT @ NO · Paris, Sun 9:30 AM
$4,800
3x 14.4Avg 8.9vs 3x −5.5Wk6 $4,000 ▲$800Last 2 avg 20.1Opp 15Imp 24.0
  • Breakout: Week 6 at Tampa: 11 catches on 12 targets, 87 yards and the game-winning OT touchdown (25.7 DK points). The 11 catches set the Steelers' rookie single-game record, passing JuJu Smith-Schuster's 9 from 2017. Week 5 vs Indianapolis: 6 catches on 9 targets (30% share) for 80 yards plus a 4-yard run (14.4 DK points, exactly his 3x line) (DraftSharks).
  • Usage: 28% target share and about 10 targets per game over his two full-time games, with 50% of his snaps in the slot and 19% of his targets on screens (Fantasy Life utilization report). He had 13 catches in his first five games combined, then 17 in the last two.
  • Role change: Michael Pittman (foot) and Roman Wilson (finger) are both on IR and Ben Skowronek (calf) is out. Bernard is now Pittsburgh's every-down receiver, with no healthy competition for slot snaps.
  • Price trend: DK raised him $800, but his last two games average 20.1 points, 4.2x his new salary. His season average (8.9) still reflects four games as a part-timer, which is why the price lags the role.
  • Risk: Two strong games is still a small sample, and his average route depth is only 6.0 yards (83rd of 85 qualifying WRs), so his score depends on catch volume, not big plays. The 9:30 AM Paris kickoff locks this slot before any other game, so there is no late swap.
Defense: His slot role puts him on New Orleans S Jonas Sanker, who allows 0.41 fantasy points per route in coverage and is targeted on 20.8% of the routes he covers (FantasyPros). The Saints rank 25th in passing yards allowed. Pittsburgh also has CB Brandin Echols out, so this game should not turn into a defensive struggle. Counterpoint: CB Kool-Aid McKinstry practiced fully and Martin Emerson had 2 INTs last week.
Value Pick
2Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM
$4,800
3x 14.4Avg 15.3vs 3x +0.9Wk6 byeOpp 5Imp 28.25
  • Production: Here on production, not a role change. His 15.3 average already clears the 14.4 3x line, and he plays for the slate's highest implied total (28.25) in the 53.5-total game (Footballguys).
  • Price trend: Detroit was on bye in Week 6, and his $4,800 salary is $900 below Kittle's for a similar average. That makes him the cheapest TE on the slate with a 15+ average.
  • Fits as a FLEX alongside Kittle in a two-TE build, or as the TE if you pay up for Gibbs.
  • Risk: Green Bay rates 5th-toughest vs TEs, and Gibbs and St. Brown take most of the targets.
Defense: LB Zaire Franklin is Out and CB Benjamin St-Juste (hamstring) is Questionable on Green Bay's final report. Losing a starting linebacker opens the short middle, where TEs work. CB Brandon Cisse was limited early in the week but has no designation.
Value Pick
3Aaron RodgersQB · PIT @ NO · Paris, Sun 9:30 AM
$5,300
3x 15.9Avg 17.5vs 3x +1.6Wk6 $5,500 ▼$200Opp 17Imp 24.0
  • Price trend: Down $200 from Week 6 even though his average (17.5) clears his 3x line (15.9). He is the best healthy starting QB under $5,500 by that measure.
  • Production: New Orleans ranks 25th in passing yards allowed (DK Network). Rotowire projects Pittsburgh for 23.8 points to New Orleans' 20.8.
  • Pairs with Bernard for a $10,100 Pittsburgh stack. It saves $700 vs Love if you need room for Gibbs.
  • Risk: 9:30 AM lock in Paris, with an overseas travel week for both teams. Martin Emerson's ball-hawking (2 INTs, 4 passes defended last week) is the main downside.
Defense: Rodgers' best matchup is Bernard in the slot against S Jonas Sanker (0.41 fantasy points per route allowed). The Saints' run defense is the weakness, though: 4.89 YPC allowed and a league-high 62% rushing success rate, so Pittsburgh may not need to throw 35 times.
Value Pick
4Jaylin NoelWR · HOU vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM
$3,900
3x 11.7Avg 11.3vs 3x −0.4Wk6 $3,200 ▲$700Opp 14Imp 26.25
  • Role change: David Montgomery is officially Out (groin). Houston already runs only 37.8% of the time (26th), and without its lead back the pass rate should climb (Sharp Football).
  • Production: Stroud has 20+ fantasy points in three straight games with a career-best 0.15 EPA per dropback. Houston has 25 pass plays of 20+ yards, tied for most in the NFL (Sharp Football).
  • Price trend: Up $700 from $3,200, but his 11.3 average is within half a point of the 11.7 3x line. He is the cheapest way into a 26.25-point implied offense, $3,300 less than Nico Collins.
  • Risk: Tank Dell is listed Questionable but practiced fully all week. If Dell plays, he competes for the same slot and short-area targets. Dalton Schultz also practiced fully Friday.
Defense: The Giants' secondary is depleted. CB Greg Newsome II (concussion) and LB Tremaine Edmunds (shoulder) are Out, and CB Paulson Adebo (knee), S Jevón Holland (concussion) and S Tyler Nubin (neck) are all Questionable. PFF flags Noel against slot CB Dru Phillips as a target matchup. The Giants have the league's lowest pressure rate (25.9%) while blitzing on 39.2% of dropbacks, 4th-most (Fantasy Life), and 58% over the last two weeks (Sharp Football), and Stroud completes 67.3% of his passes for 7.8 Y/A against the blitz. Counterpoint: the Giants allow only 6.2 yards per attempt (5th) and have allowed one 200-yard passer all year.
Value Pick
5Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR @ LV · Sun 4:25 PM
$3,500
3x 10.5Avg 8.8vs 3x −1.7Wk6 $3,400 ▲$100Opp 25Imp 26.5
  • Role change: Davante Adams (hamstring, out 6–10 weeks) and TE Terrance Ferguson are both out, two of the Rams' top three pass catchers. Higbee is named among the players expected to absorb those targets (FantasyLabs, Yardbarker).
  • Role change: Puka Nacua (calf) did not practice Friday and is Questionable. Sean McVay called it minor but said it cost him some of his usual power and explosion. If Nacua sits or is limited, Higbee and Kyren Williams are the next targets for a QB who leads the league in pass attempts and yards.
  • Price trend: Up only $100. DK cut Konata Mumpfield $400 to $3,200, which suggests the outside WR role is not trusted, and that pushes more short targets toward Higbee.
  • Risk: The most speculative pick here: there is no target-share data yet without Adams, and his 8.8 average sits 1.7 below 3x.
Defense: Las Vegas ranks last in EPA per pass allowed over its last three games and 25th vs TEs (FantasyLabs). The Raiders list no defensive backs on the injury report, so the edge comes from scheme and recent form, not missing starters.
Value Pick
6Tony PollardRB · TEN vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM
$5,300
3x 15.9Avg 8.6vs 3x −7.3Wk6 $5,400 ▼$100Last wk 19 carriesOpp 2Imp 18.0
  • Volume: He had a season-high 19 carries last week. Tennessee's passing game is among the league's worst, so the offense runs through him (FantasyLabs).
  • Role change: Tyjae Spears and Calvin Ridley are both Questionable on the final report. If Spears sits, Pollard's share of the backfield grows.
  • Game script: Tennessee is only a 1.5-point underdog, so a blowout that ends his volume is unlikely. He ranks 2nd in SimLabs optimal-lineup rate on FanDuel (FantasyLabs).
  • Price trend: Down $100. His season average (8.6) includes a timeshare that ended; this is a volume bet priced off old usage.
  • Risk: Cleveland is the 2nd-toughest RB matchup and the game total is 37.5. This is the highest-floor, lowest-ceiling pick on the list.
Defense: Cleveland plays Cover 1 man on 43.2% of snaps, the NFL's highest rate (Fantasy Life). Man coverage leaves fewer defenders in the box to read the run, but Cleveland's front is the reason it ranks 2nd vs RBs. Pollard's floor comes from carries, not efficiency.

Honorable Mentions value plays that just missed

Jaylen WarrenRB · PIT @ NO · Paris
$6,400
Status Dowdle Q3x 19.2Avg 18.3vs 3x −0.9Wk6 $7,000 ▼$600Opp 32
  • Price trend: The biggest price drop among starting RBs: down $600, from $7,000 to $6,400, while his 18.3 average sits just below the 19.2 3x line.
  • Usage: Last week he played 73% of snaps and took 12 of Pittsburgh's 19 RB carries even with Rico Dowdle back (Fantasy Life).
  • Why it missed: He is above the $5,500 value-pick cutoff and adds a third player to the 9:30 AM Paris lock. Dowdle (knee) is Questionable.
  • Becomes a play if: Dowdle is ruled out, or you need a cheaper RB2 than Hubbard. New Orleans is the softest RB matchup on the slate (DK rank 32), allowing 4.89 YPC and a league-high 62% rushing success rate. A full workload there at $6,400 is a better price-per-touch than Hubbard or Kyren Williams.
Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs CIN
$3,400
3x 10.2Avg 5.1vs 3x −5.1Wk6 $3,400 flatRoute rate ~53%
  • Why it missed: He is back from IR with season highs (4 catches, 40 yards), but Rashod Bateman practiced this week and is expected to play. With Bateman active, Lane is the WR3 behind Zay Flowers and Bateman (FantasyPros, STACKED, Fantasy Footballers).
  • Becomes a play if: Bateman is ruled out. Lane then moves into Baltimore's WR2 role at $3,400, the cheapest every-down WR on the slate. Swap him in for Higbee or Noel. If Lamar Jackson sits, the Tyler Huntley downgrade still applies.
Brandin CooksWR · SF @ ATL
$4,200
3x 12.6Avg 3.3vs 3x −9.3Wk6 $4,000 ▲$200Opp 27Imp 26.25
  • Why it missed: Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel are ruled out, but Christian Kirk (calf) is Questionable after a full practice Friday, and Kyle Shanahan said he is trending toward his season debut. Jordan Watkins leads the available 49ers WRs in receiving yards. Cooks had 2 targets last week and averages 3.3 points, so a three-way split leaves him no floor.
  • Becomes a play if: Kirk is inactive Sunday. Then Cooks and Watkins are the only veteran options outside in a 26.25-point offense, and at $4,200 he needs 12.6 points. 49ers inactives post about 11:30 AM ET.

Quarterbacks

Lock
1Jordan LoveQB · GB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM
$6,000
3x 18.0Avg 20.7vs 3x +2.7Wk6 $5,500 ▲$500Opp 32Imp 25.25
  • See Locks. Best matchup at the position by every source reviewed.
Undervalued
2Bryce YoungCAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM
$5,900
3x 17.7Avg 23.7vs 3x +6.0Wk6 $5,700 ▲$200Opp 12Imp 24.0
  • Production: His average beats his 3x line by 6.0 points, the widest gap of any healthy QB. His production per $1K is 35% above the QB median on this slate.
  • Production: He leads the NFL at 309.8 passing yards per game, with 11 TD and 2 INT (FantasyLabs).
  • Price trend: Up $200 from Week 6. DK is pricing him like a mid-tier QB while he produces like a top-three option.
  • Risk: Tampa's defense rates 12th vs QBs. This is a production bet more than a matchup bet.
Defense: Tampa plays Cover 3 on 50.2% of snaps (2nd-most) and blitzes 42.5% of the time, but ranks 31st in pressure rate. Young averages 0.35 EPA per dropback against the blitz (Fantasy Life). S Antoine Winfield Jr. (rib) is ruled Out and LB Christian Rozeboom went on IR. CB Zyon McCollum (illness) practiced fully Friday and will play.
3C.J. StroudHOU vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM
$5,700
3x 17.1Avg 20.7vs 3x +3.6Wk6 $5,600 ▲$100Opp 28Imp 26.25
  • Production: Positive Plus/Minus in 5 of 6 games, 20+ points in each of his last three, and a career-best 48.6% success rate (FantasyLabs, Sharp Football). Week 6: 24 of 34 for 312 yards, 3 TD and 1 INT.
  • Game script: Houston's implied total of 26.25 is its highest of the season, and Montgomery is Out. The Giants have allowed the 6th-most fantasy points to QBs and gave up the second-highest-scoring QB of the week in back-to-back games (DK Network, Sharp Football).
  • Price trend: Up only $100. His average clears 3x by 3.6 at $300 less than Love.
  • Risk: As a 10-point favorite Houston could run the clock late, and he adds little as a runner.
Defense: The Giants are missing CB Greg Newsome II and LB Tremaine Edmunds, with CB Paulson Adebo and both starting safeties (Holland, Nubin) Questionable. They have the league's lowest pressure rate (25.9%), and Stroud averages 0.38 EPA per dropback with no sacks against the blitz (Fantasy Life). Counterpoint: the Giants allow only 6.2 yards per attempt (5th).
4Jared GoffDET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM
$6,800
3x 20.4Avg 24.2vs 3x +3.8Wk6 byeOpp 5Imp 28.25
  • Game script: The highest implied team total on the slate, coming off a bye, in the 53.5-total game (Footballguys).
  • Production: His 24.2 average clears 3x by 3.8, second only to Young among the QBs listed here.
  • Risk: Green Bay is a tougher pass matchup (5th). Gibbs takes 93% of Detroit's carries inside the 5-yard line, which takes short passing TDs away (FantasyLabs).
Defense: CB Benjamin St-Juste (hamstring) is Questionable and LB Zaire Franklin is Out. PFF flags Jameson Williams against CB Brandon Cisse, saying Green Bay's perimeter corners make too many errors.
5Brock PurdySF @ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM
$6,600
3x 19.8Avg 22.7vs 3x +2.9Wk6 $6,800 ▼$200Opp 22Imp 26.25
  • Production: He leads the league in TD passes and QBR. Every QB this season has gone over his completions prop against Atlanta (FantasyLabs, CBS/SportsLine).
  • Price trend: Down $200 from Week 6.
  • Risk: Evans was ruled out Friday, which leaves McCaffrey, Kittle and Cooks as his top three targets. Stacking Purdy with both SF locks puts about a third of your cap in one offense.
Defense: Atlanta ranks 28th in pass yards allowed, but holds offenses to the 9th-lowest dropback success rate (43.5%). That is a high-volume, lower-efficiency profile, which suits McCaffrey more than Purdy's TD ceiling.

Fades

Fade
Lamar JacksonBAL vs CIN
$6,700
Status Q3x 20.1Avg 21.0vs 3x +0.9Wk6 $6,700 flatImp 27.25
  • Why fade: He was limited Wednesday and Thursday with a left ankle sprain after missing two games. Baltimore said he was close last week, then sat him. A limited ankle threatens the rushing floor that drives his value (Ravens.com, FantasyLabs).
  • Price trend: His price is unchanged from last week despite the injury. For $700 less, Love has a cleaner health picture and a better matchup.
Fade
Patrick MahomesKC @ SEA · SNF
$6,200
3x 18.6Avg 20.0vs 3x +1.4Wk6 $6,500 ▼$300Opp 2Imp 20.0
  • Why fade: DK Network sit. Seattle is the 2nd-toughest QB matchup, the total dropped from 45.5 to 42.5, and Rashee Rice is ruled Out (DK Network, ESPN, CBS).
  • Price trend: Down $300, but the price cut reflects the environment. KC's 20.0 implied total is the 4th-lowest on the slate.
Fade
Bo NixDEN @ ARI
$5,000
3x 15.0Avg 12.4vs 3x −2.6Wk6 $5,100 ▼$100Opp 29
  • Why fade: Great matchup, poor production. He averages 5.5 adjusted yards per attempt and has a negative Plus/Minus in 5 of 6 games. He is a tournament contrarian play, which does not fit a head-to-head league (FantasyLabs).

Running Backs

Lock
1Christian McCaffreyRB · SF @ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM
$7,600
3x 22.8Avg 20.5vs 3x −2.3Wk6 $7,900 ▼$300Opp 21Imp 26.25
  • See Locks.
Undervalued
2Jahmyr GibbsDET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM
$9,800
3x 29.4Avg 32.1vs 3x +2.7Wk6 byeOpp 29Imp 28.25
  • Production: The highest salary on the slate and still too low. His 32.1 average clears his 3x line (29.4), his points per $1K are 58% above the RB median, and he scored 40.7 DK points in his last game against Arizona (FantasyLabs).
  • Usage: He handles 85% of Detroit's rushing attempts, an 18% target share and 93% of the carries inside the 5-yard line (FantasyLabs).
  • This is the exception to your balanced-RB rule. If you play him, pair him with two value picks.
  • Risk: $9,800 leaves $40,200 for eight slots, about $5,025 each.
Defense: Green Bay has allowed the 4th-most fantasy points to RBs and 9 rushing TDs to RBs in 6 games (FantasyLabs, Footballguys). LB Zaire Franklin is Out, and DT Jordon Riley (Achilles) is Questionable as he returns from IR.
Undervalued
3Chuba HubbardCAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM
$6,700
3x 20.1Avg 20.8vs 3x +0.7Wk6 $6,300 ▲$400Opp 3Imp 24.0
  • Usage: He played 93% of snaps and took 93% of Carolina's rushing attempts last week, with 5 straight top-12 finishes (FantasyLabs).
  • Price trend: Up $400 from Week 6. FantasyLabs says his price "continues to creep up" and still calls him underpriced. His average clears 3x, and his points per $1K are 49% above the RB median.
  • Risk: Tampa is 3rd-toughest vs RBs. He sat out Wednesday's practice for rest, not injury.
Defense: Tampa LB Christian Rozeboom (finger) went on IR and S Antoine Winfield Jr. is Out. The Buccaneers' strength is the run front; Carolina's edge in this game is passing into the Cover 3 shell, which keeps Tampa from loading the box against Hubbard.
Undervalued
4Kyren WilliamsLAR @ LV · Sun 4:25 PM
$7,000
3x 21.0Avg 20.0vs 3x −1.0Wk6 $6,800 ▲$200Opp 24Imp 26.5
  • Usage: He gets 84% of the Rams' short-yardage work, and his target share has risen to 20% over the last three weeks with Adams out (FantasyLabs).
  • Production: His points per $1K are 38% above the RB median, and FantasyLabs gives him an 81% Bargain Rating. He trails only McCaffrey and Gibbs in projected Plus/Minus.
  • Role change: Puka Nacua did not practice Friday (calf). If Nacua is limited, Williams' target share climbs further.
  • Price trend: Up $200; still $600 less than McCaffrey for a similar average.
Defense: Las Vegas allows 5.0 yards per carry to RBs (Footballguys) and ranks last in EPA per pass over its last three games.
5Woody MarksHOU vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM
$5,600
3x 16.8Avg 8.9vs 3x −7.9Wk6 $5,400 ▲$200Snaps L2 81%Opp 18Imp 26.25
  • Role change: David Montgomery is officially Out (groin). Marks is in 9 of 10 top DraftKings cash lineups with Montgomery out and leads all RBs in SimLabs optimal-lineup rate (Footballguys, FantasyLabs).
  • Production: He has beaten his salary-based expectation in 4 straight weeks (FantasyLabs). His 8.9 season average reflects a backup role that no longer exists.
  • Game script: Lead backs favored by more than a touchdown historically average +2.92 Plus/Minus. Houston is favored by 10 (FantasyLabs).
  • Price trend: Up only $200, to $5,600. At 3x he needs 16.8 points, which is about 15 touches plus a score in this game script.
Defense: The Giants allow 4.81 YPC to RBs (4th-most), 5.63 YPC on gap runs, and have given up 6 RB touchdowns (Fantasy Life, FantasyLabs). Their run defense also loses its signal-caller: LB Tremaine Edmunds is Out (shoulder).

Fades

Fade
Jonathan TaylorIND @ MIN
$8,000
3x 24.0Avg 20.1vs 3x −3.9Wk6 $8,000 flatOpp 1Imp 17.5
  • Why fade: The toughest RB matchup on the slate, against an undefeated Vikings defense. Indianapolis is a 6.5-point underdog with an offense FantasyLabs says "has looked awful." His average sits 3.9 below 3x (DK Network, FantasyLabs).
  • Game script: A 17.5-point implied total and a likely trailing script cut into his carries.
Fade
Kenneth Walker IIISEA vs KC · SNF
$9,000
3x 27.0Avg 30.0vs 3x +3.0Wk6 $8,500 ▲$500Opp 19Imp 22.5
  • Why fade: He is good enough to be priced this high; the game is not. DK raised him $500 into a 42.5-total game that dropped 3 points from open (ESPN).
  • Price trend: $9,000 blocks the balanced McCaffrey plus Hubbard or Williams build you prefer, and he costs $800 less than Gibbs for 2.1 fewer points in a worse environment.
  • Counterpoint: Zach Charbonnet is Out, so Walker's share of carries should rise. Kansas City still allows the 2nd-fewest yards per carry to RBs (3.23, Fantasy Life).
Fade
Saquon BarkleyPHI vs DAL · MNF
$6,800
Status Q3x 20.4Avg 5.8vs 3x −14.6Wk6 $6,600 ▲$200Imp 20.0
  • Why fade: He was limited Friday (hamstring), and his 5.8 average reflects missed time. Jalen Hurts is out for the season with blood clots in his lungs, so the Eagles start backup Tanner McKee (ESPN, Rotowire).
  • Game script: DeVonta Smith (hamstring), Dontayvion Wicks (ankle) and Dallas Goedert (knee) all missed Friday's practice. A depleted Philadelphia offense lets Dallas stack the box.
  • Risk: Monday night kickoff: if you roster him and he sits, few pivots remain.

Wide Receivers

1Amon-Ra St. BrownDET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM
$7,800
3x 23.4Avg 21.4vs 3x −2.0Wk6 byeOpp 18Imp 28.25
  • Production: The headline pick in Fantasy Alarm's WR column. Detroit has the slate's top implied total (28.25), and he is the safest $7K+ WR without an injury tag.
  • Risk: His 21.4 average is 2.0 short of 3x. He needs the top-total game to play to its number.
Defense: CB Benjamin St-Juste is Questionable and LB Zaire Franklin is Out on Green Bay's final report. St. Brown works the slot and short middle, where a missing linebacker matters most.
2CeeDee LambDAL @ PHI · MNF
$8,000
3x 24.0Avg 23.4vs 3x −0.6Wk6 $8,300 ▼$300Opp 28Imp 24.5
  • Price trend: Down $300 from Week 6, and now the closest to his 3x line (−0.6) of any healthy $8K+ WR.
  • Game script: Dallas is a 4.5-point favorite against an Eagles offense starting a backup QB and missing three pass catchers in practice. Dallas should control the game (CBS).
  • Risk: Monday night. George Pickens (Q, shoulder) practiced fully Friday, so Lamb's target share is not boosted.
  • Counterpoint: FantasyPros lists Lamb against Philadelphia CB Woolen among its challenging WR/CB matchups this week.
Defense: Philadelphia ranks 28th vs WRs. CB Jakorian Bennett is on IR (knee) and S Michael Carter (abdomen) missed Week 6, so the Eagles' depth corners are playing real snaps.
3Nico CollinsHOU vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM
$7,200
3x 21.6Avg 19.1vs 3x −2.5Wk6 $7,200 flatOpp 14Imp 26.25
  • Production: RotoGrinders names him a slate-breaking matchup. He is Stroud's top target in an offense with 25 pass plays of 20+ yards, tied for the NFL lead (RotoGrinders, Sharp Football).
  • Role change: Montgomery is Out, so Houston's 26th-ranked run rate should drop further.
  • Price trend: His price is flat, and his average sits 2.5 below 3x. He is the most expensive way into this game; Noel is the cheapest.
Defense: His outside matchup weakened. CB Greg Newsome II is Out and CB Paulson Adebo (knee) was limited all week and is Questionable. If Adebo sits, the Giants start backups on both sides.
Undervalued
4Christian WatsonGB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM
$7,000
3x 21.0Avg 20.8vs 3x −0.2Wk6 $6,900 ▲$100Opp 31Imp 25.25
  • Production: The best WR matchup on the slate (9% better than average), and 2nd on the team in play-action targets. He stacks with Love (Footballguys, RotoGrinders).
  • Price trend: Up $100. He was cleared Friday with no game designation, so the Undervalued label now applies: his average is 0.2 short of 3x and his production per $1K is 30% above the WR median.
  • Risk: Matthew Golden was also cleared, so the two share the downfield targets.
Defense: Detroit allows 194.8 WR yards per game. S Kerby Joseph is on PUP and S Brian Branch is Questionable in his return from an Achilles tear. Watson's deep routes test exactly that safety depth.
5Jalen CokerCAR vs TB · Sun 1:00 PM
$6,100
3x 18.3Avg 17.7vs 3x −0.6Wk6 $5,900 ▲$200Opp 17Imp 24.0
  • Price trend: A cheaper way into the league-leading Carolina passing game: $1,000 less than McMillan for about 1.5 fewer points per game (FantasyLabs).
  • Production: His 17.7 average is 0.6 short of 3x, with Young averaging 309.8 passing yards per game.
  • Risk: Up $200 this week; his price is catching up to his production.
Defense: Tampa plays Cover 3 on half its snaps, which leaves the intermediate seams and curl windows open. S Antoine Winfield Jr. (rib) is ruled Out, which removes a starting safety from that Cover 3 shell. CB Zyon McCollum practiced fully Friday.

Fades

Fade
Puka NacuaLAR @ LV
$8,400
Status Q3x 25.2Avg 24.5vs 3x −0.7Wk6 $8,100 ▲$300Opp 20
  • Why fade: He left Thursday's practice with a calf injury, did not practice Friday and is Questionable. Sean McVay called it minor but said it cost him some power and explosion (Rams.com). At $8,400, a limited snap count is a risk you don't need in a W-L league.
  • Price trend: DK raised him $300 into the injury. Higbee and Kyren Williams capture his targets if he is limited.
Fade
Drake LondonATL vs SF
$7,500
3x 22.5Avg 15.7vs 3x −6.8Wk6 $7,000 ▲$500Opp 10
  • Why fade: DK raised him $500 to $7,500, yet his 15.7 average sits 6.8 points below his 3x line (22.5), the worst gap of any WR priced over $7K.
  • Production: San Francisco ranks 10th vs WRs on DK's ranking.
  • Counterpoint: San Francisco's defense is hurt: Nick Bosa (calf) and Mykel Williams (knee) missed practice, S Marques Sigle (ankle) did not practice Wednesday, and slot CB Upton Stout is playing through an AC sprain. If London hits, this is why. At $7,500 the price still needs a 23-point game.
Fade
Garrett WilsonNYJ vs MIA
$6,500
3x 19.5Avg 16.8vs 3x −2.7Wk6 $6,800 ▼$300Opp 2Imp 21.5
  • Why fade: RotoBaller sit. Miami is the 2nd-toughest WR matchup, the game total is about 39, and the Jets' path is on the ground (RotoBaller, Footballguys).
  • Production: FantasyPros: his likely coverage, CB JuJu Brents, allows 0.16 fantasy points per route and is targeted on only 12.1% of routes.
  • Price trend: Down $300, but still 2.7 below 3x.

Tight Ends

Lock
1George KittleTE · SF @ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM
$5,700
3x 17.1Avg 15.0vs 3x −2.1Wk6 $5,200 ▲$500Opp 21Imp 26.25
  • See Locks.
2Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM
$4,800
3x 14.4Avg 15.3vs 3x +0.9Wk6 byeOpp 5Imp 28.25
  • Also a Value Pick. His average clears 3x in the slate's top-total game. 27% above the TE median, just short of the Undervalued threshold.
3Brock BowersLV vs LAR · Sun 4:25 PM
$7,700
3x 23.1Avg 22.3vs 3x −0.8Wk6 $7,500 ▲$200Opp 2Imp 22.0
  • Production: The highest TE average on the slate (22.3). He is the pay-up option only if you skip Kittle (RotoGrinders).
  • Role change: Raiders TE Carter Runyon and WR Dont'e Thornton Jr. are both ruled out, which removes two target competitors. Bowers was limited Wednesday and practiced fully Thursday and Friday (Raiders.com).
  • Risk: The Rams rank 2nd-toughest vs TEs, and $7,700 is $2,000 more than Kittle.
Defense: The matchup is better than the rank says. Rams CB Trent McDuffie (groin) missed practice all week and is Questionable, and ILB Nate Landman, who covers TEs, is Out. The Rams allow only 0.85 yards per route to outside WRs (fewest in the NFL; Fantasy Life), so the Raiders' passing game funnels to Bowers in the middle.
4Pat FreiermuthPIT @ NO · Paris, Sun 9:30 AM
$4,200
3x 12.6Avg 10.6vs 3x −2.0Wk6 $4,400 ▼$200Opp 27Imp 24.0
  • Production: 5+ targets in 4 of 6 games with 4 TDs, and RotoBaller rates this a top-three TE matchup.
  • Role change: Pittman and Roman Wilson are on IR and Skowronek is out. Only Bernard and Freiermuth are proven Steelers receivers this week.
  • Price trend: Down $200 to $4,200.
  • Risk: 9:30 AM lock. His 10.6 average is 2.0 below 3x.
Defense: New Orleans ranks 27th vs TEs. S Jonas Sanker, who allows 0.41 fantasy points per route, also covers TEs from the box.
5Tucker KraftGB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM
$4,700
3x 14.1Avg 9.4vs 3x −4.7Wk6 $4,900 ▼$200Opp 32Imp 25.25
  • Production: The softest TE matchup on the slate (DK rank 32), and he leads Green Bay in play-action targets (Footballguys, RotoGrinders).
  • Role change: Health upgrade: he does not appear on Green Bay's Wednesday injury report, and DK has removed his injury tag after last week's knee scare.
  • Price trend: Down $200 to $4,700 while the matchup improved.
  • Risk: His 9.4 average sits 4.7 below 3x. This is a matchup bet, not a production bet.
Defense: Detroit's safety group is thin: Kerby Joseph is on PUP, Brian Branch is returning from an Achilles tear, and LB Devin White is on IR. TEs win against safeties and linebackers, and Detroit is short on both.

Fades

Fade
Trey McBrideARI vs DEN
$7,400
3x 22.2Avg 17.2vs 3x −5.0Wk6 $7,200 ▲$200Imp 19.5
  • Why fade: Up $200 to $7,400 while sitting 5.0 points below his 3x line, on a home underdog with a 19.5 implied total. Kittle projects higher for $1,700 less (FantasyLabs).
  • Counterpoint: Denver S Talanoa Hufanga is Out, which helps a TE working the middle.
Fade
Travis KelceKC @ SEA · SNF
$5,500
Status Q3x 16.5Avg 13.0vs 3x −3.5Wk6 $5,500 flatOpp 3
  • Why fade: He was limited all week with an ankle issue (no game designation), Seattle is a top-3 TE defense, and KC's implied total is low. Kittle costs $200 more and averages 2 more points per game.
  • Counterpoint: Rashee Rice is ruled Out, which frees up targets for Kelce.
Fade
Kyle PittsATL vs SF
$4,000
3x 12.0Avg 8.3vs 3x −3.7Opp 4
  • Why fade: RotoBaller lists him as a potential bust with a low floor; San Francisco is 4th-toughest vs TEs.
  • Counterpoint: SF slot CB Upton Stout (shoulder) and S Marques Sigle (ankle) are banged up, which helps a slot-aligned TE. The 3.7-point gap to his 3x line is still too wide.

Defense 1 top pick + 2 value plays at $2,800 or less

Top DST
VikingsMIN vs IND
$3,500
Avg 12.2Wk6 byeOpp imp 17.5Spread MIN −6.5
  • Production: The highest DST average on the slate. An undefeated defense faces a Colts offense FantasyLabs says "has looked awful" (DK Network, FantasyLabs).
  • Game script: Minnesota plays zone on 84.4% of snaps (Fantasy Life). That forces a struggling offense into long, patient drives, which is where sacks and turnovers come from.
  • Game script: Indianapolis is without TE Tyler Warren and WR Anthony Gould, both ruled Out.
Value DST
BrownsCLE vs TEN
$2,800
Avg 6.5Wk6 $2,500 ▲$300Total 37.5
  • Production: The lowest-total game on the slate against one of the league's worst passing attacks, and Cleveland is favored.
  • Game script: Cleveland plays Cover 1 man on 43.2% of snaps, the NFL's highest rate (Fantasy Life). Man coverage against a weak WR group produces sacks.
  • Price trend: Up $300 from Week 6; still the cheapest favored DST.
  • Risk: CB Denzel Ward and S Grant Delpit are both Questionable.
Value DST
TitansTEN vs CLE
$2,600
Avg 6.5Wk6 $2,300 ▲$300Opp imp ~19.5
  • Game script: The same 37.5-total game. Cleveland is implied for only about 19.5 points. Tennessee blitzes on just 22.8% of dropbacks (Fantasy Life), so this is a turnover bet more than a sack bet.
  • Game script: Tennessee plays zone on 80.9% of snaps (Fantasy Life). It is the cheapest DST with a sub-20 opponent total.

Defensive Injuries & Coverage the secondary holes behind this week's picks

Giants (vs HOU)
Out / limitedOut: CB Greg Newsome II, LB Tremaine Edmunds. Q: CB Paulson Adebo, S Jevón Holland, S Tyler Nubin
Who benefitsStroud $5,700, Collins $7,200, Noel $3,900, Marks $5,600
Why it mattersTwo starters are out and a third corner plus both starting safeties are Questionable. They also have the lowest pressure rate in the NFL (25.6%).
Lions (vs GB)
Out / limitedPUP: S Kerby Joseph. Q: S Brian Branch (Achilles return). IR: LB Devin White. CB Rock Ya-Sin cleared
Who benefitsLove $6,000, Watson $7,000, Kraft $4,700
Why it mattersThey allow the most passing yards per game in the NFL (321.4), including 194.8 yards per game to WRs.
Rams (vs LV)
Out / limitedQ: CB Trent McDuffie (DNP all week). Out: ILB Nate Landman
Who benefitsBowers $7,700, Mayer $3,700 (if Bowers sits)
Why it mattersThey allow only 0.85 yards per route to outside WRs, which funnels targets to the TE in the middle.
Falcons (vs SF)
Out / limitedOut: ILB Divine Deablo, nickel CB Billy Bowman. Q: CBs A.J. Terrell, C.J. Henderson (both full practice Friday)
Who benefitsMcCaffrey $7,600, Kittle $5,700, Cooks $4,200
Why it mattersTEs average 6.3 catches and 56.2 yards against them. They rank 28th in pass yards allowed.
Buccaneers (vs CAR)
Out / limitedOut: S Antoine Winfield Jr. IR: LB Christian Rozeboom. CB Zyon McCollum cleared
Who benefitsYoung $5,900, Coker $6,100
Why it mattersCover 3 on 50.2% of snaps, 31st in pressure rate.
Saints (vs PIT)
Out / limitedS Jonas Sanker allows 0.41 fantasy points per route; CB Kool-Aid McKinstry is healthy
Who benefitsBernard $4,800, Freiermuth $4,200, Warren $6,400
Why it mattersThey allow 4.89 YPC and a league-high 62% rushing success rate.
Packers (vs DET)
Out / limitedOut: LB Zaire Franklin. Q: CB Benjamin St-Juste, DT Jordon Riley
Who benefitsGibbs $9,800, St. Brown $7,800, LaPorta $4,800
Why it mattersThey have allowed the 4th-most fantasy points and 9 rushing TDs to RBs.
Eagles (vs DAL)
Out / limitedIR: CB Jakorian Bennett. S Michael Carter (abdomen) missed Week 6
Who benefitsLamb $8,000
Why it mattersThey rank 28th vs WRs and start a backup QB, so Dallas should control the game.

Value Board production per dollar vs position median · gold = Undervalued

PlayerPosSalaryvs Wk6AvgIndexLabel
Jahmyr GibbsRB$9,800bye32.11.58Undervalued
Kenneth Walker IIIRB$9,000▲$50030.01.60Fade (game environment)
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR$8,600030.01.52None (toughest WR matchup, 42.5 total)
Chuba HubbardRB$6,700▲$40020.81.49Undervalued
Kyren WilliamsRB$7,000▲$20020.01.38Undervalued
Isaiah LikelyTE$5,300▲$50018.21.36None (NYG lowest implied, 16.75)
Bryce YoungQB$5,900▲$20023.71.35Undervalued
Matthew GoldenWR$6,000▲$10018.31.33None (cleared; shares targets with Watson)
Christian McCaffreyRB$7,600▼$30020.51.30Lock
Christian WatsonWR$7,000▲$10020.81.30Undervalued
CeeDee LambWR$8,000▼$30023.41.28Target
Sam LaPortaTE$4,800bye15.31.27Target / Value Pick
C.J. StroudQB$5,700▲$10020.71.22Target

Injury Review who is out, who replaces him, how it pays

Injured playerStatusReplacementSalaryFantasy impact
Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel (SF WR)OutMcCaffrey, Kittle; Christian Kirk (Q)$7,600 / $5,700 / $3,600Volume concentrates on the two locks. Kirk is trending toward his debut, so Cooks ($4,200) dropped to an honorable mention.
Michael Pittman, Roman Wilson (PIT WR)IRGermie Bernard$4,800Every-down slot role: 28% target share, 11 catches in Week 6. Value Pick #1.
David Montgomery (HOU RB)OutWoody Marks; Noel$5,600 / $3,90081% of snaps the last two weeks; Houston is a 10-point favorite. The pass rate rise helps Noel.
Davante Adams, T. Ferguson (LAR)IR / OutTyler Higbee, Kyren Williams$3,500 / $7,000Two of the top three pass catchers are gone. Kyren's target share is up to 20%.
Puka Nacua (LAR WR)Q, DNP Friday (calf)Higbee, Kyren Williams—If Nacua is limited or out, both gain more targets.
Rico Dowdle (PIT RB)Q (knee)Jaylen Warren$6,400If Dowdle sits, Warren becomes a play against the softest RB defense.
Rashod Bateman (BAL WR)PracticingJa'Kobi Lane$3,400Only matters if Bateman is ruled out; then Lane is a value play.
Breece Hall (NYJ RB)Limited (quad)Braelon Allen$5,900If Hall sits, Allen takes the lead role against Miami, which ranks 31st vs RBs on DK's ranking.
Christian Watson / Matthew Golden (GB WR)Cleared Friday—$7,000 / $6,000Both play. Watson now carries the Undervalued label; Savion Williams ($3,200) stays a depth piece.
Lamar Jackson (BAL QB)Q (high ankle sprain)Tyler Huntley$4,900Practiced Friday for the first time since the injury; decision could come at game time. Huntley lowers Flowers, Andrews and Lane.
Antoine Winfield Jr. (TB S)Out——Opens the deep middle of Tampa's Cover 3 for Bryce Young ($5,900) and Jalen Coker ($6,100).
Rashee Rice (KC WR)OutTravis Kelce$5,500More targets for Kelce, but he was limited all week (ankle) against a top-3 TE defense. Still a fade.
Saquon Barkley (PHI RB)Q, limited Friday——Fade. DeVonta Smith, Wicks and Goedert also missed Friday's practice.

The Sunday morning injury updates (about 8:10 and 10:25 AM ET) post at the top of this page. Check final inactives 90 minutes before each kickoff.

How to Read This Page

LockPut him in every lineup. Multi-source consensus, clean health, clear volume.
UndervaluedSalary is too low for his production. Points per $1K are 30%+ above his position's median on this slate, his average clears the 2.5x floor, and he is healthy.
Value PickUnder $5,500 and priced below what his current role or production supports. That can be a role change, a breakout, a price drop, a return from injury, or production the salary hasn't caught up to.
FadeAvoid this week. A specific reason is listed.
3x / vs 3xThe 3x line is salary ÷ 1,000 × 3, the score that makes a player worth his price. "vs 3x" is his season DK average minus that line: green means his average already reaches it, red means he needs an above-average game.
Wk6 ▲▼Salary change from Week 6. A red ▲ means DK raised his price; a green ▼ means he got cheaper. "bye" means his team did not play.
Opp / ImpDK opponent rank vs the position (1 toughest, 32 softest) and the Vegas implied team total.
TagsRole change / Breakout new or growing usage. Price trend salary movement. Risk what could go wrong. Defense the opponent's coverage and injury picture.
League fit. Branduel is head-to-head W-L with total points as the tiebreaker, so this board is built like a cash game: floor and volume first, ownership ignored.

Sources every source used for this week's board

Salaries, prices and injury tags

  • DraftKings draft group 155197 (salaries, DK season averages, opponent ranks, Week 6 salaries for price trends)

DFS analysis and projections

Matchups, coverage and advanced stats

Player news and role changes

Injury reports

Vegas lines